Every Team Makes Mistakes, in Large Action Spaces

Abstract:

Voting is applied to better estimate an optimal answer to complex problems in many domains. We recently presented a novel benefit of voting, that has not been observed before: we can use the voting patterns to assess the performance of a team and predict whether it will be successful or not in problem-solving. Our prediction technique is completely domain independent, and it can be executed at any time during problem solving. In this paper we present a novel result about our technique: we show that the prediction quality increases with the size of the action space. We present a theoretical explanation for such phenomenon, and experiments in Computer Go with a variety of board sizes.